Options WhaleEarnings volatility research

TEAM · Expected-Move

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$195.79
Expected move
$36.25
Expected move %
18.5%
Lower boundary
$159.54
Upper boundary
$232.04
Median historical move
9.3%
Method
ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT
Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-02Realized move 2.4807%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 2.4807% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
Exact data table
Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
ObservationRealized move (%)Implied move (%)ContextUpdated
2.4807%UnavailableSigned actual 2.4807% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
2.0539%UnavailableSigned actual 2.0539% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
9.556%UnavailableSigned actual 9.556% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
17.063%UnavailableSigned actual 17.063% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
18.9933%UnavailableSigned actual 18.9933% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
14.9204%UnavailableSigned actual 14.9204% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
8.9885%UnavailableSigned actual 8.9885% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
1.7193%UnavailableSigned actual 1.7193% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
5.4459%UnavailableSigned actual 5.4459% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
3.7496%UnavailableSigned actual 3.7496% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
29.5816%UnavailableSigned actual 29.5816% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
35.3091%UnavailableSigned actual 35.3091% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.