TEM · Expected-Move

Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$70.35

Expected move: $13.05
Expected move %: 18.6%
Lower boundary: $57.30
Upper boundary: $83.40
Median historical move: 3.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2024-08-06Realized move 4.5018%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 4.5018% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.5018%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.5018% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.101%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.101% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.5886%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.5886% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.6261%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.6261% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.6394%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.6394% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.0542%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.0542% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.9483%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.9483% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.