TSLA · Expected-Move

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$377.81

Expected move: $30.90
Expected move %: 8.2%
Lower boundary: $346.91
Upper boundary: $408.71
Median historical move: 8.7%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-10-18Realized move 9.3003%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 9.3003% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
9.3003%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.3003% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.1253%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.1253% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.0611%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.0611% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.3346%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.3346% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
21.919%	Unavailable	Signed actual 21.919% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.8733%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.8733% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.3662%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.3662% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.197%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.197% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.2803%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.2803% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4534%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.4534% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.5586%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.5586% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.5237%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.5237% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.