TWLO · Expected-Move

Twilio Inc. Class A Common Stock (TWLO) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$273.00

Expected move: $43.10
Expected move %: 15.8%
Lower boundary: $229.90
Upper boundary: $316.10
Median historical move: 14.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-08Realized move 0.3404%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 0.3404% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
0.3404%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.3404% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.3867%	Unavailable	Signed actual 15.3867% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.4957%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.4957% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.7114%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.7114% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.2837%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.2837% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.0122%	Unavailable	Signed actual 15.0122% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.2783%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.2783% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
19.3807%	Unavailable	Signed actual 19.3807% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
19.5109%	Unavailable	Signed actual 19.5109% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.3458%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.3458% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
23.8282%	Unavailable	Signed actual 23.8282% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
24.8861%	Unavailable	Signed actual 24.8861% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.