UPS · Expected-Move

United Parcel Service, Inc. Common Stock (UPS) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$93.11

Expected move: $7.10
Expected move %: 7.6%
Lower boundary: $86.01
Upper boundary: $100.21
Median historical move: 6.3%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-26Realized move 5.9348%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 5.9348% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
5.9348%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.9348% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.2015%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.2015% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.4147%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.4147% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.054%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.054% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2812%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.2812% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.1127%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.1127% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.3708%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.3708% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.573%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.573% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.0027%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.0027% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.215%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.215% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.9726%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.9726% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.5693%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.5693% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.