USAR · Expected-Move

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$13.23

Expected move: $2.08
Expected move %: 15.7%
Lower boundary: $11.15
Upper boundary: $15.31
Median historical move: 6.4%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2025-05-14Realized move 6.4117%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 6.4117% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
6.4117%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.4117% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
23.3161%	Unavailable	Signed actual 23.3161% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.7345%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.7345% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.3598%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.3598% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.321%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.321% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6828%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.6828% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.