USB · Expected-Move

U.S. Bancorp Common Stock (USB) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$57.29

Expected move: $2.57
Expected move %: 4.5%
Lower boundary: $54.72
Upper boundary: $59.86
Median historical move: 1.9%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-10-18Realized move 4.3565%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 4.3565% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.3565%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.3565% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.3536%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.3536% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.6097%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.6097% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.5508%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.5508% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.702%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.702% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.6386%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.6386% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.0966%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.0966% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.0289%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.0289% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.7221%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.7221% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.0369%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.0369% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.5788%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.5788% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.587%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.587% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.