VST · Expected-Move

Vistra Corp. Common Stock (VST) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$166.72

Expected move: $20.18
Expected move %: 12.1%
Lower boundary: $146.55
Upper boundary: $186.90
Median historical move: 3.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-07Realized move 1.6417%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.6417% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.6417%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.6417% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.0014%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.0014% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.2683%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.2683% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.5563%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.5563% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.5458%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.5458% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.268%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.268% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.6603%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.6603% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4557%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.4557% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.0468%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.0468% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.5588%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.5588% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.