WMT · Expected-Move

Walmart Inc. (WMT) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$121.25

Expected move: $8.88
Expected move %: 7.3%
Lower boundary: $112.38
Upper boundary: $130.13
Median historical move: 6.9%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2025-02-20: Realized move: 6.5289% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 6.5289% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
6.5289%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.5289% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.4957%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.4957% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.2679%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.2679% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.1513%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.1513% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.