XOM · Expected-Move

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation Common Stock (XOM) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$164.05

Expected move: $9.58
Expected move %: 5.8%
Lower boundary: $154.48
Upper boundary: $173.63
Median historical move: 1.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-27Realized move 1.9052%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.9052% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.9052%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.9052% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.4101%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.4101% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.4242%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.4242% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.0598%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.0598% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.5671%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.5671% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.5008%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.5008% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.4064%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.4064% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.7914%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.7914% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.2877%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.2877% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6334%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.6334% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.0238%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.0238% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.9747%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.9747% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.