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AXTIAXT Inc
Next verified earnings Oct 29, 2026 · Earnings history
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for AXTI
Observed outcomes from 8 earnings events (Oct 31, 2024 – Jul 30, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
Updated Oct 7, 2026
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
Exact data table
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.0583% | Unavailable | Signed actual -18.0583% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 0.2179% | 20.6972% | Signed actual -0.2179% · Reconstructed · 3 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 2.963% | Unavailable | Signed actual 2.963% · Reconstructed · 0 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 7.6923% | Unavailable | Signed actual -7.6923% · Reconstructed · 6 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 8.6066% | 25.4597% | Signed actual 8.6066% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 24.6535% | 16.7799% | Signed actual 24.6535% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 21.1815% | 19.6989% | Signed actual 21.1815% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 28.7388% | 19.2048% | Signed actual 28.7388% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Strangle | 3 | 0 / 3 | -64.6% | -50.0% | -83.6% |
| Bear Call Spread | 2 | 0 / 2 | -138.4% | -20.5% | -256.3% |
| Bull Put Spread | 2 | 0 / 2 | -55.7% | -45.1% | -66.4% |
| Iron Condor | 2 | 0 / 2 | -118.5% | -65.7% | -171.3% |
| Long Straddle | 2 | 0 / 2 | -30.9% | -29.3% | -32.5% |
| Calendar | 1 | 1 / 1 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
Historical examples
Example trades, payoff and risk
Past structural simulations · modeled fills · not historical recommendations.
Bear Call Spread
Did not clear entry filters- Modeled entry credit
- $1.25
- Payoff max loss
- -$198.75
- Payoff max profit
- $1.25
- Modeled exit P&L
- -$36.35-20.5% on stored risk basis $177.50
Entry Jul 16, 2026 → Exit Jul 29, 2026. Payoff is a scenario; exit P&L uses the stored exit fills. Payoff uses modeled entry premiums before commissions.
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
Event / reference markers
- Entry spot: $45.57
- Expiry breakeven $64.0125: $64.0125
- sell call strike $64.00: $64.00
- buy call strike $66.00: $66.00
Exact data table
| Observation | Expiration P/L (USD) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| $1.25 | Entry spot reference | Update time unavailable | |
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| -$0.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$24.12 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$69.69 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$115.26 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$160.83 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$198.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| -$198.75 | Update time unavailable |
| Side / quantity | Contract | Strike / expiry | Entry fill | Exit fill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL × 1 | AXTI260731C00064000 | $64.00 call · 2026-07-31 | $1.92 | $0.54 |
| BUY × 1 | AXTI260731C00066000 | $66.00 call · 2026-07-31 | $1.91 | $0.19 |
Breakevens: $64.01. Short legs may carry assignment risk; expiry payoff excludes early exercise.
23 quote gaps · Record hist_AXTI_4367bc524b8d1a5e · Historical methodology