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BROSDutch Bros Inc. Class A Common Stock
Next verified earnings Nov 4, 2026 · Earnings history
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for BROS
Observed outcomes from 8 earnings events (Nov 6, 2024 – Aug 5, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
Updated Oct 7, 2026
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2024-11-06Realized move 28.1339%Implied move 14.3473%Signed actual 28.1339% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 7, 2026
Exact data table
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.1339% | 14.3473% | Signed actual 28.1339% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 29.0991% | 15.423% | Signed actual 29.0991% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 8.8315% | 15.0168% | Signed actual 8.8315% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 21.5954% | 15.5788% | Signed actual 21.5954% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 4.2117% | 14.1381% | Signed actual -4.2117% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 4.6832% | 13.2661% | Signed actual 4.6832% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 9.3464% | 11.8944% | Signed actual -9.3464% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 18.7909% | 12.5565% | Signed actual -18.7909% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Put Spread | 8 | 0 / 8 | -22.4% | -4.3% | -54.8% |
| Iron Condor | 8 | 0 / 8 | -34.4% | -1.0% | -68.9% |
| Bear Call Spread | 7 | 1 / 7 | -6.7% | 6.1% | -21.7% |
| Long Straddle | 7 | 2 / 7 | -14.6% | 7.4% | -29.0% |
| Long Strangle | 7 | 1 / 7 | -22.7% | 36.6% | -52.7% |
| Calendar | 3 | 1 / 3 | -2.2% | 11.4% | -17.6% |
Historical examples
Example trades, payoff and risk
Past structural simulations · modeled fills · not historical recommendations.
Bull Put Spread
Did not clear entry filters- Modeled entry credit
- $50.00
- Payoff max loss
- -$250.00
- Payoff max profit
- $50.00
- Modeled exit P&L
- -$8.85-4.3% on stored risk basis $205.00
Entry Jul 22, 2026 → Exit Aug 4, 2026. Payoff is a scenario; exit P&L uses the stored exit fills. Payoff uses modeled entry premiums before commissions.
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
$32.475Expiration P/L -$250.00Update time unavailable
Event / reference markers
- Entry spot: $64.95
- Expiry breakeven $56.50: $56.50
- sell put strike $57.00: $57.00
- buy put strike $54.00: $54.00
Exact data table
| Observation | Expiration P/L (USD) | Context | Updated |
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| -$250.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| -$194.20 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| -$64.30 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| $0.65 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| Side / quantity | Contract | Strike / expiry | Entry fill | Exit fill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL × 1 | BROS260807P00057000 | $57.00 put · 2026-08-07 | $1.48 | $1.09 |
| BUY × 1 | BROS260807P00054000 | $54.00 put · 2026-08-07 | $0.98 | $0.52 |
Breakevens: $56.50. Short legs may carry assignment risk; expiry payoff excludes early exercise.
Stored costs: $0.65 / contract / side · slippage 25.0% of spread / fillExample methodology and limitations
5 quote gaps · Record hist_BROS_b392dfab4a200151 · Historical methodology