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BWBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. Common Stock
Next verified event unavailable · Earnings history
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for BW
Observed outcomes from 7 earnings events (Nov 12, 2024 – Aug 10, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
Updated Oct 7, 2026
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2024-11-12Realized move 28.4585%Implied move 19.962%Signed actual -28.4585% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 7, 2026
Exact data table
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.4585% | 19.962% | Signed actual -28.4585% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 5.5686% | 27.7778% | Signed actual -5.5686% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 46.104% | Unavailable | Signed actual 46.104% · Reconstructed · 5 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 15.748% | Unavailable | Signed actual 15.748% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 28.3422% | Unavailable | Signed actual 28.3422% · Reconstructed · 5 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 30.055% | Unavailable | Signed actual 30.055% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 3.491% | Unavailable | Signed actual 3.491% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Straddle | 4 | 1 / 4 | -35.1% | 9.6% | -84.0% |
| Long Strangle | 4 | 0 / 4 | -57.1% | -42.3% | -84.0% |
| Bull Put Spread | 1 | 0 / 1 | -62.7% | -62.7% | -62.7% |
| Iron Condor | 1 | 0 / 1 | -169.2% | -169.2% | -169.2% |
Historical examples
Example trades, payoff and risk
Past structural simulations · modeled fills · not historical recommendations.
Bull Put Spread
Did not clear entry filters- Modeled entry debit
- $10.00
- Payoff max loss
- -$60.00
- Payoff max profit
- -$10.00
- Modeled exit P&L
- -$25.10-62.7% on stored risk basis $40.00
Entry Jul 27, 2026 → Exit Aug 7, 2026. Payoff is a scenario; exit P&L uses the stored exit fills. Payoff uses modeled entry premiums before commissions.
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
$4.70Expiration P/L -$60.00Update time unavailable
Event / reference markers
- Entry spot: $9.40
- sell put strike $8.00: $8.00
- buy put strike $7.50: $7.50
Exact data table
| Observation | Expiration P/L (USD) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$60.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| Side / quantity | Contract | Strike / expiry | Entry fill | Exit fill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL × 1 | BW260814P00008000 | $8.00 put · 2026-08-14 | $0.34 | $0.28 |
| BUY × 1 | BW260814P00007500 | $7.50 put · 2026-08-14 | $0.44 | $0.15 |
Breakevens: None. Short legs may carry assignment risk; expiry payoff excludes early exercise.
Stored costs: $0.65 / contract / side · slippage 25.0% of spread / fillExample methodology and limitations
19 quote gaps · Record hist_BW_fe4a0d4b228cb19d · Historical methodology