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CMPSCOMPASS Pathways Plc
Next verified event unavailable · Earnings history
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for CMPS
Observed outcomes from 7 earnings events (Oct 31, 2024 – Aug 5, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
Updated Oct 8, 2026
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2024-10-31Realized move 23.1018%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual -23.1018% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
Exact data table
CMPS · Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.1018% | Unavailable | Signed actual -23.1018% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 1.3699% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.3699% · Reconstructed · 3 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 0.5348% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.5348% · Reconstructed · 3 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 10.4061% | Unavailable | Signed actual 10.4061% · Reconstructed · 4 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 11.4286% | 25.2101% | Signed actual 11.4286% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 16.9691% | 6.4034% | Signed actual 16.9691% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 15.0847% | 16.5254% | Signed actual 15.0847% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Straddle | 4 | 1 / 4 | -19.6% | 11.5% | -40.2% |
| Long Strangle | 3 | 0 / 3 | -36.2% | -19.7% | -50.1% |
| Bear Call Spread | 1 | 0 / 1 | -7.3% | -7.3% | -7.3% |
| Bull Put Spread | 1 | 0 / 1 | -11.8% | -11.8% | -11.8% |
| Calendar | 1 | 1 / 1 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Iron Condor | 1 | 0 / 1 | -24.3% | -24.3% | -24.3% |
Historical examples
Example trades, payoff and risk
Past structural simulations · modeled fills · not historical recommendations.
Bear Call Spread
Did not clear entry filters- Modeled entry credit
- $3.75
- Payoff max loss
- -$96.25
- Payoff max profit
- $3.75
- Modeled exit P&L
- -$6.35-7.3% on stored risk basis $87.50
Entry Jul 22, 2026 → Exit Aug 4, 2026. Payoff is a scenario; exit P&L uses the stored exit fills. Payoff uses modeled entry premiums before commissions.
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
$5.965Expiration P/L $3.75Update time unavailable
Event / reference markers
- Entry spot: $11.93
- Expiry breakeven $15.0375: $15.0375
- sell call strike $15.00: $15.00
- buy call strike $16.00: $16.00
Exact data table
Strategy payoff · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Expiration P/L (USD) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Entry spot reference | Update time unavailable | |
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $3.75 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $0.57 | Update time unavailable | ||
| $0.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$11.36 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$23.29 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$35.22 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$47.15 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$59.08 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$71.01 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$82.94 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$94.87 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$96.25 | Update time unavailable |
Exact contracts and modeled fills · dollars per share
| Side / quantity | Contract | Strike / expiry | Entry fill | Exit fill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL × 1 | CMPS260821C00015000 | $15.00 call · 2026-08-21 | $0.49 | $0.23 |
| BUY × 1 | CMPS260821C00016000 | $16.00 call · 2026-08-21 | $0.45 | $0.15 |
Breakevens: $15.04. Short legs may carry assignment risk; expiry payoff excludes early exercise.
Stored costs: $0.65 / contract / side · slippage 25.0% of spread / fillExample methodology and limitations
25 quote gaps · Record hist_CMPS_ef263ce24fe8cdeb · Historical methodology