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CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Next verified event unavailable · Earnings history
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for CRDO
Observed outcomes from 8 earnings events (Dec 2, 2024 – Sep 1, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
Updated Oct 8, 2026
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2024-12-02Realized move 47.887%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 47.887% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
Exact data table
CRDO · Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.887% | Unavailable | Signed actual 47.887% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 13.9728% | 27.4693% | Signed actual -13.9728% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 14.7965% | Unavailable | Signed actual 14.7965% · Reconstructed · 6 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 7.3976% | 16.1745% | Signed actual 7.3976% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 10.1151% | Unavailable | Signed actual 10.1151% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 14.8135% | Unavailable | Signed actual -14.8135% · Reconstructed · 6 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 1.2826% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.2826% · Reconstructed · 6 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 | |
| 20.0407% | 11.6937% | Signed actual -20.0407% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 8, 2026 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Strangle | 8 | 5 / 8 | 78.6% | 606.4% | -77.9% |
| Long Straddle | 7 | 4 / 7 | -3.7% | 35.3% | -37.8% |
| Bear Call Spread | 6 | 1 / 6 | -42.3% | 2.8% | -112.1% |
| Bull Put Spread | 6 | 2 / 6 | -17.7% | 39.9% | -75.8% |
| Iron Condor | 6 | 0 / 6 | -83.5% | -14.4% | -156.6% |
| Calendar | 3 | 0 / 3 | -11.7% | -0.7% | -24.7% |
Historical examples
Example trades, payoff and risk
Past structural simulations · modeled fills · not historical recommendations.
Bear Call Spread
Did not clear entry filters- Modeled entry debit
- $365.00
- Payoff max loss
- -$1,615.00
- Payoff max profit
- -$365.00
- Modeled exit P&L
- -$472.60-44.8% on stored risk basis $1,055.00
Entry Aug 18, 2026 → Exit Aug 31, 2026. Payoff is a scenario; exit P&L uses the stored exit fills. Payoff uses modeled entry premiums before commissions.
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
$122.985Expiration P/L -$365.00Update time unavailable
Event / reference markers
- Entry spot: $245.97
- sell call strike $277.50: $277.50
- buy call strike $290.00: $290.00
Exact data table
Strategy payoff · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Expiration P/L (USD) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Entry spot reference | Update time unavailable | |
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$365.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$409.61 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$655.58 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$901.55 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,147.52 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,393.49 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
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| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$1,615.00 | Update time unavailable |
Exact contracts and modeled fills · dollars per share
| Side / quantity | Contract | Strike / expiry | Entry fill | Exit fill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL × 1 | CRDO260904C00277500 | $277.50 call · 2026-09-04 | $6.60 | $1.74 |
| BUY × 1 | CRDO260904C00290000 | $290.00 call · 2026-09-04 | $10.25 | $0.69 |
Breakevens: None. Short legs may carry assignment risk; expiry payoff excludes early exercise.
Stored costs: $0.65 / contract / side · slippage 25.0% of spread / fillExample methodology and limitations
10 quote gaps · Record hist_CRDO_24e5900f9b6fd9e6 · Historical methodology