Options WhaleEarnings volatility research

Earnings volatility research

CYPH · Cypherpunk Technologies Inc.

No verified earnings events are stored for CYPH in this environment.

Research pending
Observed earnings moves6History through Oct 8, 2026
Mean absolute actual move73.2%6 observed events · not a forecast
Actual exceeded priced move100.0%1 of 1 paired observations
Options evidence coverageUnavailableNo stored options snapshot

Historical absolute moves are measured outcomes, not predicted returns. Missing implied moves are excluded only from paired comparisons. Inspect events and sources · Inspect stored contracts

My workspace

No reviewed research is available for CYPH yet

Coverage and research availability are separate datasets.

Next verified eventNot stored yet
Days to next eventUnavailable
Research window7–35 days before earnings, plus T-1
Why no researchNo upcoming verified earnings date is stored for this ticker yet
Calendar sourceVerified earnings calendar

Until the provider verifies the next earnings date, there is nothing to evaluate. This page reports the gap rather than guessing a date.

Browse covered researchOpen the calendar

Past events · reconstructed

Historical reconstruction for CYPH

Observed outcomes from 6 earnings events (Nov 13, 2024 – Aug 12, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.

Historical · past

Realized move versus what was implied

Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.

CYPH · Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Updated Oct 8, 2026

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2024-11-13Realized move 7.6923%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual -7.6923% · Reconstructed · 0 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
Exact data table
CYPH · Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
ObservationRealized move (%)Implied move (%)ContextUpdated
7.6923%UnavailableSigned actual -7.6923% · Reconstructed · 0 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
17.0103%UnavailableSigned actual 17.0103% · Reconstructed · 0 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
28.0236%UnavailableSigned actual -28.0236% · Reconstructed · 0 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
368.0365%UnavailableSigned actual 368.0365% · Reconstructed · 1 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
15.3846%9.6154%Signed actual 15.3846% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026
3.2353%UnavailableSigned actual -3.2353% · Reconstructed · 1 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 8, 2026

Exact-contract strategy reconstruction

No exact-contract reconstruction cleared the entry and exit quote requirements for these events. The realized and implied moves above still stand.

42 quote gaps · Record hist_CYPH_34aab94a4ed6bca1 · Historical methodology

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