Company research workspace

LCIDLucid Group, Inc.

Next verified earnings Nov 4, 2026 · Earnings history

Earnings calendar
My workspace

Past events · reconstructed

Historical reconstruction for LCID

Observed outcomes from 21 earnings events (Jun 25, 2021 – Aug 4, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.

Historical · past

Realized move versus what was implied

Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.

Implied moves available from May 5, 2022; gaps indicate missing quotes.

LCID · Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Updated Oct 25, 2026

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2021-06-25: Realized move: 1.328% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 1.328% · Reconstructed · 0 IV checkpoints Updated Oct 25, 2026
Exact data table

LCID · Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

ObservationRealized move (%)Implied move (%)ContextUpdated
1.328%UnavailableSigned actual 1.328% · Reconstructed · 0 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
1.1827%UnavailableSigned actual -1.1827% · Reconstructed · 5 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
23.7077%UnavailableSigned actual 23.7077% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
13.7681%UnavailableSigned actual -13.7681% · Reconstructed · 20 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
3.7135%11.4018%Signed actual -3.7135% · Reconstructed · 20 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
9.7276%11.3026%Signed actual -9.7276% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
16.963%12.9964%Signed actual -16.963% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
11.9238%17.7778%Signed actual -11.9238% · Reconstructed · 20 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
5.5772%UnavailableSigned actual -5.5772% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
12.1685%UnavailableSigned actual 12.1685% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
8.1395%13.8889%Signed actual -8.1395% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
16.7568%18.2065%Signed actual -16.7568% · Reconstructed · 20 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
14.0984%UnavailableSigned actual -14.0984% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
3%UnavailableSigned actual 3% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
0.4505%13.615%Signed actual -0.4505% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
3.1609%8.477%Signed actual -3.1609% · Reconstructed · 20 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
1.2712%UnavailableSigned actual -1.2712% · Reconstructed · 20 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
9.7107%14.1079%Signed actual -9.7107% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
4.1763%12.8667%Signed actual 4.1763% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
0.96%12.1824%Signed actual -0.96% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026
13.8817%17.2078%Signed actual -13.8817% · Reconstructed · 21 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 25, 2026

Compare structures and entry timing

Each column opens a separate trade using that checkpoint’s contracts and quotes. Returns include stored modeled fill costs and commissions.

Coverage and modeling assumptions

The Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta) cohort has no validated live entry gate. Its structural results appear under “All structural examples”; entry-filter status is shown only when stored, and it is not a live recommendation.

For this ticker, the DITM 0.90-delta backfill covers requested calendar entries from T−28 through T−1: all recorded events processed. Processed does not mean every quote or trade is available, and this record does not establish completion across the 500-ticker universe.

Includes trades that failed entry filters and runs with unknown eligibility; this measures structures, not qualified recommendations. Failed-filter examples are not recommendations. The exit is before earnings, or earlier if required by expiration. New DITM long-call structural examples use modeled quote-midpoint entry and exit fills, with commissions; they are not live recommendations.

Matrix values use exact aggregates across all stored cohort outcomes. Trade details below are bounded recent examples, not the full trade archive; the examples are truncated. Totals apply to this ticker and selected entry, exit rule and sample scope only.

Average dollar P&L per one-lot structure · profitable runs / total runs. Select a cell to inspect its entry checkpoint.

StrategyT−28T−27T−26T−25T−24T−23T−22T−21T−20T−19T−18T−17T−16T−15T−14T−13T−12T−11T−10T−9T−8T−7T−6T−5T−4T−3T−2T−1
Long StraddleNot available
Long StrangleNot available
CalendarNot availableNot availableNot availableNot available
Iron CondorNot available
Bull Put SpreadNot available
Bear Call SpreadNot available
Short StraddleNot available
Short StrangleNot available
Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta)Unavailable

Requested entry tests: T−28, T−27, T−26, T−25, T−24, T−23, T−22, T−21, T−20, T−19, T−18, T−17, T−16, T−15, T−14, T−13, T−12, T−11, T−10, T−9, T−8, T−7, T−6, T−5, T−4, T−3, T−2, T−1. Untested columns require a new historical reconstruction. Small samples are descriptive evidence. Columns can cover different earnings events; inspect event dates before comparing. The highest average across different samples does not establish the best entry day. New daily reconstructions use exact calendar dates; weekends, holidays and missing quotes remain unavailable. Older records may use a prior session; each trade shows its actual dates.

Filter evidence, execution costs and a plan

Compare all valid structures with the recorded filter-pass subset at the same entry and exit. A difference describes selection within this history; it does not demonstrate a causal or out-of-sample advantage. Unknown eligibility prevents a comparable difference. No confidence interval or unseen-period validation is stored for these cohorts.

Subtracts your additional dollar assumption from stored net P&L, which already includes recorded costs. This is a sensitivity scenario, not a bid/ask replay or a fill forecast. Maximum-loss returns below retain their original cost basis.

StructureAll: runs / eventsAll: mean net P&LMean return / modeled lossPassed: runs / eventsPassed: mean net P&LSelection differenceUnknown eligibility
Long Straddle19 / 19-$30.97-13.5%5 / 5-$14.60$16.370
Long Strangle19 / 19-$21.49-33.6%5 / 5-$12.80$8.690
Calendar19 / 19$3.406.9%13 / 13$2.75-$0.650
Iron Condor11 / 11$1.30-4.6%5 / 5-$5.90-$7.200
Bull Put Spread11 / 11$0.72-4.8%No recorded passesUnavailableNot comparable / unavailable0
Bear Call Spread11 / 11$0.580.9%No recorded passesUnavailableNot comparable / unavailable0
Short Straddle19 / 19$25.77Unbounded risk; unavailableNo recorded passesUnavailableNot comparable / unavailable0
Short Strangle19 / 19$16.29Unbounded risk; unavailableNo recorded passesUnavailableNot comparable / unavailable0
Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta)17 / 17-$2.420.3%No recorded passesUnavailableNot comparable / unavailable0

Choose a structure with stored results and valid cost/budget inputs to build a plan.

Entry T−14 · before earnings / expiration. Your selection, timing, cost scenario and budget become editable suggestions. No contract, live quote, capital allocation or order is inferred from a historical average.

T−14 entry details

StrategyEventsAverageMedianWorst observedBest observedDid not pass filters / Unknown eligibility
Long Straddle19-$30.97-$18.10-$142.10$23.9014 / 0
Long Strangle19-$21.49-$8.60-$90.60$14.9014 / 0
Calendar19$3.40$2.90-$45.60$25.406 / 0
Iron Condor11$1.30-$0.20-$17.20$27.806 / 0
Bull Put Spread11$0.72-$0.60-$20.60$50.4011 / 0
Bear Call Spread11$0.58$1.40-$22.60$28.9011 / 0
Short Straddle19$25.77$12.90-$29.10$136.9019 / 0
Short Strangle19$16.29$3.40-$20.10$85.4019 / 0
Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta)17-$2.42-$21.30-$259.80$706.2017 / 0
28 unavailable tests at T−14
  • LCID_2021-06-25 · Checkpoint quotes · no observed historical options at checkpoint
  • LCID_2021-08-16 · Checkpoint quotes · no observed historical options at checkpoint
  • LCID_2023-11-07 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2023-11-07 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2023-11-07 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-02-21 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-02-21 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-02-21 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-05-06 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-05-06 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-05-06 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-08-05 · Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta) · no valid ditm 90 entry contract
  • LCID_2024-08-05 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-08-05 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-08-05 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-11-07 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-11-07 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2024-11-07 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-02-19 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-02-19 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-02-19 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-05-05 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-05-05 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-05-05 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-08-05 · Iron Condor · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-08-05 · Bull Put Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2025-08-05 · Bear Call Spread · missing exact leg quotes or unbounded capital
  • LCID_2026-08-04 · Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta) · no valid ditm 90 entry contract

Era, drawdown and spread sensitivity

Era breakdown, drawdown and spread scenario

Backtest only, for T−14 entry, before earnings / expiration. A positive average in one era does not establish positive expected profit, and losing eras must be read beside winning ones.

Spread scenario: the scenario average subtracts the same flat cost from every trade's stored midpoint P&L. Stored fills are midpoint-based, so this is a sensitivity scenario, not measured bid/ask spread data and not a fill forecast.

Spread scenario · Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta)

BasisAverage P&L per one lotRuns / events
Midpoint (stored fills)-$2.4217 / 17
Scenario: midpoint minus additional cost-$2.4217 / 17

Era breakdown · Long Call DITM (0.90 Delta)

Era and drawdown unavailable for this ticker: stored trade details are bounded examples, not the full cohort, and matrix aggregates have no era dimension. Bounded examples are not used to estimate era results or drawdown.

Historical examples

Example trades, payoff and risk

Past structural simulations · modeled fills · not historical recommendations.

These are bounded recent examples, not every trade in the cohort. Matrix statistics use the full stored cohort.

Bear Call Spread

DID NOT PASS FILTERS · NOT A RECOMMENDATION
Modeled entry debit
$0.0000
Payoff max loss
-$50.00
Payoff max profit
$0.00
Modeled exit P&L
-$14.10-28.2% on stored risk basis $50.00

Exit rule: Scheduled before earnings / expiration. Exit reason: scheduled exit.

Price basis: Quote midpoint with adverse spread slippage.

Entry filter failures: directional confirmation missing.

Entry Jul 21, 2026 → Exit Aug 3, 2026. Payoff is a scenario; exit P&L uses the stored exit fills. Payoff uses modeled entry premiums before commissions.

Strategy payoffHistorical example · expiration payoff from exact entry fills (before commissions). Entry spot $7.32. Expiry maximum profit $0.00 · Expiry maximum loss -$50.00 · Expiry breakevens $0.00, $7.32, $8.50. Total position fees $0.00 deducted once. Intrinsic at the common expiration; IV/time never alters expiry P/L. No early exercise, assignment, slippage, dividends or taxes modeled.

Update time unavailable

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

$0.00: Expiration P/L: $0.00 Update time unavailable
Event / reference markers
  • Entry spot: $7.32
  • Expiry breakeven $0.00: $0.00
  • Expiry breakeven $7.32: $7.32
  • Expiry breakeven $8.50: $8.50
  • sell call strike $8.50: $8.50
  • buy call strike $9.00: $9.00
Exact data table

Strategy payoff · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

ObservationExpiration P/L (USD)ContextUpdated
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Entry spot referenceUpdate time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
$0.00Update time unavailable
-$6.44Update time unavailable
-$13.76Update time unavailable
-$21.08Update time unavailable
-$28.40Update time unavailable
-$35.72Update time unavailable
-$43.04Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable
-$50.00Update time unavailable

Exact contracts and modeled fills · dollars per share. Entry and exit fills are shown to four decimals so the modeled net entry can be checked against each leg.

Side / quantityContractStrike / expiryEntry fillExit fill
SELL × 1LCID260807C00008500$8.50 call · 2026-08-07$0.2700$0.3300
BUY × 1LCID260807C00009000$9.00 call · 2026-08-07$0.2700$0.2150

Breakevens: $0.00 / $7.32 / $8.50. Short legs may carry assignment risk; expiry payoff excludes early exercise.

Stored costs: $0.65 / contract / side · slippage 0.0% of spread / fillExample methodology and limitations

4777 unavailable observations / tests · Record hist_LCID_b9ff1cadcd2391bc · Historical methodology