Company research workspace
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group
Next verified earnings Nov 9, 2026 · Earnings history
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for BTDR
Observed outcomes from 8 earnings events (Nov 18, 2024 – Aug 10, 2026). These events have already been reported · modeled strategy results.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
Updated Oct 7, 2026
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2024-11-18Realized move 6.853%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 6.853% · Reconstructed · 6 IV checkpointsUpdated Oct 7, 2026
Exact data table
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.853% | Unavailable | Signed actual 6.853% · Reconstructed · 6 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 29.313% | 27.4809% | Signed actual -29.313% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 2.555% | 12.9524% | Signed actual -2.555% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 7.2442% | Unavailable | Signed actual 7.2442% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 19.7362% | Unavailable | Signed actual -19.7362% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 13.5113% | 13.1359% | Signed actual -13.5113% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 11.5734% | 13.9939% | Signed actual 11.5734% · Reconstructed · 8 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 | |
| 20.0827% | Unavailable | Signed actual -20.0827% · Reconstructed · 7 IV checkpoints | Updated Oct 7, 2026 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Straddle | 7 | 4 / 7 | 14.2% | 134.0% | -54.8% |
| Bull Put Spread | 4 | 1 / 4 | 11.7% | 174.3% | -58.7% |
| Calendar | 4 | 1 / 4 | -108.3% | 7.0% | -226.2% |
| Long Strangle | 4 | 2 / 4 | 49.9% | 219.1% | -98.2% |
| Bear Call Spread | 3 | 0 / 3 | -138.0% | -44.0% | -259.6% |
| Iron Condor | 3 | 0 / 3 | -281.8% | -61.3% | -608.0% |
Historical examples
Example trades, payoff and risk
Past structural simulations · modeled fills · not historical recommendations.
Bear Call Spread
Did not clear entry filters- Modeled entry debit
- $2.50
- Payoff max loss
- -$52.50
- Payoff max profit
- -$2.50
- Modeled exit P&L
- -$17.60-44.0% on stored risk basis $40.00
Entry Jul 27, 2026 → Exit Aug 7, 2026. Payoff is a scenario; exit P&L uses the stored exit fills. Payoff uses modeled entry premiums before commissions.
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
$5.675Expiration P/L -$2.50Update time unavailable
Event / reference markers
- Entry spot: $11.35
- sell call strike $14.50: $14.50
- buy call strike $15.00: $15.00
Exact data table
| Observation | Expiration P/L (USD) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Entry spot reference | Update time unavailable | |
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$2.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$5.30 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$16.65 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$28.00 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$39.35 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$50.70 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable | ||
| -$52.50 | Update time unavailable |
| Side / quantity | Contract | Strike / expiry | Entry fill | Exit fill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL × 1 | BTDR260814C00014500 | $14.50 call · 2026-08-14 | $0.41 | $0.16 |
| BUY × 1 | BTDR260814C00015000 | $15.00 call · 2026-08-14 | $0.44 | $0.04 |
Breakevens: None. Short legs may carry assignment risk; expiry payoff excludes early exercise.
Stored costs: $0.65 / contract / side · slippage 25.0% of spread / fillExample methodology and limitations
24 quote gaps · Record hist_BTDR_f3014a39b3a7d8d6 · Historical methodology